Offensive trend
Given the criticisms of the offense we discuss in the game threads, I decided to spend a few minutes seeing whether a simple analysis validated the frustration.
The Rockets have played 62 games (I am posting this before the San Antonio game). Below is a graph of the points scored in each game with a linear trend and a 10 game moving average (the dotted line). This includes overtime games which should have higher scores.
The linear trend is not a surprise.
The 10 game moving average looks like it is moving up. However, the recent games that spike above the trend are Utah, Sacramento, and Washington.
To confirm what Xiane has been saying, of the 29 games where the Rockets have scored the league average 115 or more, only 8 are from 2026. In addition to the three games already mentioned, the other five are against the Nets, the Sixers (an overtime game so extra time), the Bulls, the Pelicans, and the Pacers.
Unlike in investing, the trend is not our friend. Something needs to change.
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